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►About
Venture Capital Tutorial
for Entrepreneurs Considering Presenting at VCIC
by Patrick
Vernon
The Venture Capital
Investment Competition is a great place to meet
some VCs and learn a lot about funding a new
venture. Over the years we’ve had more than 300
ventures present at our regional events, of
which about 20% went on to receive venture
funding. This tutorial was created to help you,
the entrepreneur, gauge whether or not
participating in VCIC makes sense for your
venture. And by extension, it is also a good
measure to decide if the time is right for you
to seek venture capital.
Know what VCs are looking for
A lot of people
have the misconception that venture capitalists
are a mysterious bunch who invest in all kinds
of startups. And that is a little bit true, but
a more accurate truth is that they invest in a
very specific kind of start-up: one that
is poised for hyper-fast growth. You see, VCs
“swing for the fence.” Your venture must have a
very large potential for VCs to be able to
fulfill their fiduciary duty to their limited
partners (explained below). Gone are the days,
if they ever existed, of maverick VCs who give a
couple of guys in a garage a few hundred
thousand dollars to develop a prototype.
Nowadays, the venture capital industry is
well-defined and very sophisticated and everyone
is wondering what happened to those good ole
days. VCs have a short list of must-haves in the
ventures in which they’ll invest. and if you
don’t satisfy these criteria, you either need to
change your strategy or don’t waste your time chasing VCs.
Here’s the list:
-
$1B market
potential. If yours is not that
big, then you need to broaden your horizons
and think bigger. What if you had a $10M
investment? How big could you get then?
That’s the thinking VCs want to hear because
they’ve got the millions you’ll need to get
there.
-
Experienced
management team. This is a
catch-22 for many entrepreneurs. The good
news is that VCs have great networks that
can help you round out your team. But you
need to work very hard getting it close. You
need to have experts on your side, at least
as advisors if not on the payroll.
-
Sustainable
competitive advantage. This is a
really tough one that most start-ups don’t
have, and you can’t just change strategies
to get one. If your venture is not built off
of some protectable and scalable technology,
VCs won’t usually be interested. It is
conceivable that in the right type of
business you could build barriers to entry
if you are a well-funded first-mover, but it
is quite rare that that will suffice.
-
Proven business
model. I mentioned scalable in
the last point. You have to be able to grow
fast. And I mean crazy fast. Again, think
unlimited resources. VCs want to invest
millions of dollars for hyper-fast growth
(see below about asking for the right
amount), which means you need to build something
that can get to lots of customers fast. You
need to be a product business, not a
service business.
-
Verifiable customer
pain. You must demonstrate that
you are in touch with your customers. This
is not the area in which to hypothesize. Get
customers early, even if they don’t pay.
Work with customers before you seek funding.
Their participation will prove to the VCs
that you have a solution that people care
about.
-
Clear exit strategy
within 3-7 years. If you are
planning to run your business forever, don’t
bother VCs. They must exit to provide
a return to their limited partners. They are
capitalists, and the only way they
can cash in their investment in your venture
is for your venture to be sold or to go
public.
Know the difference between VCs and “Angels”
VCs are explained above.
They are professional investors with very
specific criteria and a fiduciary duty to their
limited partners (explained below). An “angel”
could be anybody who writes you a check. Since
the tech bubble, a lot of newly wealthy people
dabble in angel investing, and angel groups
sprouted up, too. Most of these act as VC-light,
that is, they want the same criteria as VCs. But
they often will do earlier and smaller deals.
Ask for the right amount
VCs these days
generally have much more money that they need to
“put to work.” Because of today’s fund sizes,
most firms are not looking for any deal for
under $1M (that means they want to invest at
least $1M in your venture) and would prefer a
first investment to be in the $3-5M range. Then
they will expect to put in another $3-15M in
future rounds so that your company can grow into
a $500M company in five years. That is
hyper-speed growth. That’s the VC business. It
is “hit-driven.” Their “core business” is not
helping aspiring entrepreneurs learn the ropes
to eventually have a profitable business. They
need the next big hit to pay for all the
ventures that won’t make it. Do not come to VCIC
asking for $300,000 as the only funding you will
ever need. That is not enough capital to “move
the needle” for a VC firm.
Plan on future rounds of investments
Most
entrepreneurs think they can “get there” with
only one round of funding. You’ve been trained
to bootstrap. That’s unfortunate when you start
looking into venture capital. You need to start
thinking of how you could grow the fastest, with
almost unlimited resources. VCs are experts at
growing new ventures. They say things like, “To
get a new semi-conductor business to $500M takes
about $30-50M.” It is what they do. You will
have to get comfortable with that dynamic. If
you accept one round of VC funding, that means
you are on board for several. It might look like
this:
-
$1M early stage round
to get to prototype or perhaps get first
customers;
-
a year later, another
round of $3-5M to test the business model
and whether it can scale, milestones of $1M
in sales or some # of customers;
-
then maybe 18 months
later, $5-10M to go BIG and try to position
yourself for an “exit” (sale of company or
IPO).
-
(Note: some smaller firms with fund sizes
below $40M have the strategy to exit before
bullet #3 rather than take a 3rd round. But
this is an exception, not the rule these
days.)
Understand pre-money, post-money and % ownership
When you accept an
investment, you are selling a piece of your
company. Just how much you are selling is
determined by the investment amount and the
“pre-money valuation,” which is the amount you
and your investors agree your company is worth
the moment before you receive an
investment (hence the “pre” in pre-money). Quick
example: if you receive a $1M investment and you
negotiated a $1M pre-money valuation, you just
sold half your company. The value of your
company after the investment is $2M (=
pre + cash), and that is called “post-money”
valuation.
Negotiating
Pre-money valuation is a
negotiated value, negotiated between you and
your investors, and this negotiation process has
the potential to create acrimony, partly because
VCs are experts in this process, and you usually
are not. VCIC is a great place to get a
glimpse of what it is like in your investors’
shoes and to practice negotiating with student
VCs.
Comps
VCs know the valuation of
other start-ups and will compare you to them
(you’ll often hear the term “comparables”).
Comps are the biggest driving factor when
it comes to determining pre-money valuation. You
are well-served to find your own comps that support your cause for a higher valuation.
However, it is not all about the money.
The expertise a VC brings to your company is a
significant part of their overall contribution.
It is a mistake to take money from the VC firm
that offers the highest pre-money valuation if
it is not the firm that can help you grow the
most. At VCIC, you will meet multiple (mock) VC
firms. They are competing for your business as
much as you and the other entrepreneurs are
competing for theirs.
%
ownership
Another important issue to
consider in pre-money valuation is percent
ownership in the long haul. Remember
above we stated you’d need several rounds to
become a hundred million dollar company. At the
end of that process, it is not likely that
you’ll own much of the company (maybe 25% in a
good case). The cliché is that you’d rather have
a slice of a giant watermelon than the whole
raisin. If you own 25% of a $200M company,
you’re doing OK, so start getting comfortable
now with the reality that you’ll have to give up
more and more of your company to your investors
through all the rounds of funding.
Do not get stuck on 50%!
The number 50 is meaningless. Real control of
your company is going to change dramatically the
moment you take on investors regardless of
percentages. Your company cannot afford
infighting on your board of directors regardless
of who has the majority vote. It is not
conducive to fast growth, and a minority stake
can ruin a company just as fast as a majority
can. It is far more important to begin thinking
of how well you will work together
because you know what drives VCs and they know
what drives you.
Exit
strategy
The last major factor that
impacts a VCs negotiation for pre-money
valuation is potential exit valuation. That is,
how big can it get? They look at the exit values
of comparables and then back into a pre-money
valuation that could give them a desired return.
This is probably best explained in an example.
Let’s say your company needs $1M right now, but
will probably need a total of $10M to grow.
Looking at other companies who were recently
acquired, your VC believes that there is a good
chance you could be acquired for somewhere
between $80-100M in 3-5 years. Let’s be generous
and go with $100M. Quick math: that’s $100M
return on $10M, or “10x.” But your investor
doesn’t own 100%. Let’s say they own 75%. That
gives them a 7.5x return, and as you’ll see
below in the “understand how a VC fund works,”
7.5x is not a very good return for a portfolio
company, even though it is probably a great
return for you, an individual.
Example
Here’s how a VC might think
through this scenario: “We could exit for around
$100M. If I believe we can get there with only a
$8M investment total and that for that $8M I
could own 80% of the company, that would give my
firm a 10x return. To get to 80% ownership, we
should probably buy about 50% of the company in
the first round, 20% more in the second round
and the last 10% in the third round. Hence, I’ll
try to negotiate a $1M pre-money valuation for
an investment of $1M in the first round.”
The example in the previous
section may look something like this:
-
$1M investment on a $1M
pre-money = $2M post-money valuation the
moment you get the cash. Management retains
50% (one divided by two) of the company.
Management’s portion is worth $1M.
-
Next round, $4M
investment on a $6M pre. That implies that
the venture tripled in value as you hit some
milestones. Why? Because it was worth $2M at
the last post-money, and now you’ve
negotiated a $6M pre. 6/2=3x increase.
Something good must have happened. Your
widget worked! With this new $4M cash
investment, the company is worth $10M
post-money. New investors bought 40% of the
company with that $4M (of $10M total).
Management still has half of the remaining
60%, or 30% of post-money valuation. In
dollar terms, management’s portion now is
worth $3M. (See table below.)
-
Final round, just
before going public: $10M investment on a
$20M pre. You just sold a third of the
company again, so you are down to 20%, but
it is 20% of a $30M company, worth $6M. Not
bad for spending other people’s money. And
that is going to grow quickly because you
have $10M in cash that you’re going to use
to create tons of value and then sell your
company to Rupert Murdoch for $200M, which
will be $40M for you.
|
Round |
Pre-Money |
Invest-ment |
Post-Money |
% Mgmt |
% All
Investors |
|
A |
$1M |
$1M |
$2M |
50% |
50% |
|
B |
$6M |
$4M |
$10M |
30% |
70% |
|
C |
$20M |
$10M |
$30M |
20% |
80% |
|
|
Exit |
|
$200M |
40M |
160M |
Of course, your investors
didn’t do too shabby either. For their total
investment of $1M+$4M+$10M=$15M they get a
return of $160M. They look like greedy bastards
until you take into account all the other
companies they invested in with this fund that
failed. Let’s take a look at that.
IF YOU DO NOT UNDERSTAND
THE SECTION ABOVE, YOU NEED TO STUDY IT BEFORE
YOU SIT DOWN WITH A VC. You do not want to be
naïve about how much of your company you are
selling to your investors. More examples at the
bottom of this paper.
Understand how a VC fund works
You are in the business of
your business. VCs are in the business of
investing in high growth companies, and then
returning the capital to their limited partners
(folks like state pension funds, university
endowments, insurance companies, banks and
anyone else with large pools of money to
invest). Here’s how a simple fund might work.
Let’s start one called VCIC Ventures. We hit the
road looking for investors (LPs) with a target
fund size of $160M. To the LPs, venture capital
is a high risk asset class they call
“alternative assets,” and while they’ll put 90%
of their money into safer things like mutual
funds, stocks and bonds, they’ll also put a few
percent into alternative. That few percent adds
up (at CalPERs, the biggest by far, for example,
a few percent is a few billion dollars).
These days if we’re trying
to raise $160, we’ll probably raise $200. That’s
the way it’s been going lately. That’s both good
news and bad news for entrepreneur. The good
news is that there is money out there. The bad
news is that it is a LOT of money. That’s why
you need to be asking for a lot. It takes a VC
just as much time to manage an investment of
$500,000 as $15M. And if the $500,000 gets a 10x
return, that’s only $5M. But we’re getting ahead
of ourselves.
We raise $200M, and with
that we will probably invest in a dozen or so
companies (our “portfolio”), averaging around
$10-15M in each “portfolio company.” Almost all
venture funds last 10 years. That means we have
to return all the money to the LPs in 10 years.
Because we are in a high risk class, our LPs
expect to get a higher return than, say, the S&P
index. So they want us to be returning upwards
of 20% on an annual basis (a crude estimate of
the stock market by comparison is an average of
about 10% a year in stocks, bonds are safer and
even lower). To give our LPs a 20% annual
return, we’d need to cough up a check in the
year 2018 for $1.2B.
This is a crude and
inaccurate example because the money doesn’t
move around so simply. In reality, VCIC Ventures
wouldn’t get all the money on the first day, nor
do we distribute all the proceeds on the last
day. It is more accurate to guestimate that we’d
have to return somewhere around $700M to our LPs
over the course of that 10 years.
So now go back and take a
look at the greedy VCs who got $160M from your
venture. Yes, that is a lot of money, but in the
context of needing a portfolio return of around
$700M to their LPs, your company’s “success”
barely makes a dent. And you thought you were a
rock star! Now you start to see why VCs swing
for the fence. All it takes is one eBay or
Google or MySpace to get that return for your
LPs. What if your company sold for $1.5B!?! Then
CalPERS might event notice. Well, no, not
really, because to mitigated their risk they
invest in a lot of VC funds.
If you keep an eye on this
bigger picture you see two things clearly. 1)
VCs are not at the top of this food chain,
though it often feels to entrepreneurs as if
they are because VCs do control the spigot. And
2) VCs have a lot of pressure from the capital
markets to return a sufficient amount. Another
important point is that all of this is “market
driven,” by which I mean the day that CalPERS
decides this business is too risky, everything
could dry up.
VC math examples
-
You negotiate a
$500,000 pre-money and the VC is going to
invest $1M. What percentage ownership will
you have? How much is the post-money
-
Two different firms are
investing in your venture. One is putting in
$1M, the other $2M. Your pre-money valuation
is $3M. What percentage ownership do you
retain?
-
We are looking back on
a couple of rounds of investing that you
got. One was a year ago when you received
$2.5M from a VC firm on a pre-money of $5M.
Then this year you got another $5M on a
pre-money of $15M. What percentage do you
own? How about the VC? If you sell the
company next year for $50 million, will you
be happy? Will the VCs be happy?
Answers
-
You own 500,000 of a
$1.5 post-money = 33% of the company.
-
You own $3M of a $6M
post, or 50%
|
Round |
Pre-Money |
Invest-ment |
Post-Money |
% Mgmt |
% All
Investors |
|
A |
$5M |
$2.5M |
$7.5M |
67% |
33% |
|
B |
$15M |
$5M |
$20M |
50% |
50% |
|
|
Exit |
|
$50M |
$25M |
$25M |
-
See table. Yes, you are
happy, you are a millionaire many times
over. But no, your VC is not! He barely got
a 3x return, which won’t be much help
towards that 20% return on 10 years on the
entire portfolio. His LPs might sue him for
the early exit. You can see how
entrepreneurs and VCs do not always have the
smoothest relationship – they’re incentives
are not always aligned.
The Fallacy of Taking Other People’s Money
It is tempting, isn’t it?
These crazy VCs and “angels” out there will give
you money to help you start your business. How
could you resist? Well, having read this article
to this point, you probably have a reasonable
idea as to whether you even have an idea they’d
be interested in ($1B market, experienced team,
sustainable advantage…). If you do not meet
those criteria, then you are wasting a valuable
resource, your time, in chasing money you will
not get. If you do meet those criteria, then why
do you want to sell part of your company?
Remember, it ain’t free money. To get venture
capital, you have to sell a piece of your
company. That’s not always a good deal for you.
There is an unfortunate
catch-22 when it comes to getting funded. Money
seems only to be available to the companies that
need it the least. Why is this? Because most
entrepreneurs are not truly offering an
opportunity to investors. Rather, they are
trying to mitigate their own risk by
spending someone else’s money. If you do not
think the opportunity is worth every dime you
can muster up from your savings, your family and
every friend you can find, then do you really
believe it is a great investment opportunity?
Why wouldn’t you give family and friends first
crack at it if it is such a great deal? If you
can’t convince your uncle, investors won’t be
compelled either. VCs are just as risk averse as
your family. That is why only companies that
seem to be “sure things” get funded. Often they
could be profitable businesses without the extra
funding. They need extra capital for growth.
So the rule is, you should
never go looking for other people’s money
because you need cash to minimize your personal
risk. You should only take other people’s
money to maximize opportunity. If taking $1M
can get you to $1B market, go get it! But if you
are hoping to find $50,000 before you quit your
day job, you’ll have to take that risk on
yourself.
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